Emerging markets will drive growth in the mobile phone market over the next five years, according to new research from independent telecoms analyst Ovum.
In its ‘Mobile Phone Forecast: 2011–16’, Ovum predicts that the mobile handset market will experience steady growth of 2.5 percent, reaching 1.77 billion shipments in 2016 – an increase of more than 230 million from 2011.
“Our latest analysis has shown that after a difficult 2009 due to the recession, the mobile handset market bounced back in 2010, with shipments reaching 1.49 billion units,” said Ovum principal analyst Adam Leach. “This strong performance corrected for the growth that didn’t happen in 2009 and put the market on course for a period of steady growth over the next five years.”
The number of mobile phone users continues to increase steadily in emerging markets, while operators switching to 3G and 4G mobile broadband networks will also help to drive growth, Ovum said. Shipments of mobile broadband-enabled handsets will grow by a compound annual growth rate of 15.1 percent, to reach 962 million units in 2016.
For many people in developing countries, mobile broadband is simply the only affordable way to access the Internet. Research released by Ovum yesterday revealed that fixed broadband is still beyond the reach of the vast majority of emerging market consumers.
Charities such as Computer Aid International are doing their bit to try and get developing nations hooked up to the World Wide Web. In October last year, for example, it announced that its solar powered Internet cafe, built in a self-contained shipping container, had gone live in Keyna.
However, many developing nations are looking at wireless (i.e. mobile) alternatives for broadband provision. This includes 4G technologies such as WiMAX, LTE, or older mobile standards such as HSPA.
In September last year, the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) called on global leaders to make access to high-speed networks a basic civil right and ensure that more than half the world has access to broadband networks by 2015.
The organisation predicted that mobile broadband will be the access technology of choice for millions in the developing world, and therefore urged governments to ensure ample availability of spectrum to support mobile broadband growth.
“In the 21st century, affordable, ubiquitous broadband networks will be as critical to social and economic prosperity as networks like transport, water and power,” said the ITU in a report.
Google parent Alphabet sees market capitalisation surge over $2tn on plan to over first-ever cash…
Google asks Virginia federal court to dismiss case brought by US Justice Department and eight…
Snapchat parent Snap reports user growth, revenues in spite of tough competition, in what may…
Intel shares sag after company shares gloomy revenue predictions, as data centre chip demand hit…
Germany's Tuta Mail says Google broke EU's new DMA rules with March algorithm update that…
US auto safety regulator opens new investigation into adequacy of Tesla Autopilot recall, saying it…